S&P 500 ETF Vanguard (VOO.US)

Close: 402.69 (-8.07), Jan 21, 2022
Complete report

Algorithmic Overall Analysis

Negative (Score: -85)


Jan 21, 2022. Updated daily.

Analyses


Short

Medium

Long

Overall

Low risk

Liquidity risk: LowVolatility risk: Low

Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading

Stock data

Period  
Vol.bal. Volatility Liquidity +/- %
1 day-0.70%6 534.02-1.96%
5 days-53.602.23%4 465.33-5.72%
22 days-61.635.67%3 135.13-4.08%
66 days-56.0310.78%2 534.88-2.06%
Price dateJan 21, 2022
CurrencyUSD
ISIN
Rise from year low18.38%
Fall from year high-8.32%


Automatic technical analysis. Short term

chart S&P 500 ETF Vanguard (VOO) Short term

Short term

S&P 500 ETF Vanguard has broken the rising trend channel in the short term and reacted strongly down. For the time being, it is difficult to say anything about the future trend direction. There is no support in the price chart and further decline is indicated. In case of a positive reaction, the stock has resistance at 414 dollar. Volume tops and volume bottoms correspond badly with tops and bottoms in the price. Volume balance is also negative, which weakens the stock. The short term momentum of the stock is strongly negative, with RSI below 30. This indicates increasing pessimism among investors and further decline for S&P 500 ETF Vanguard. However, particularly in big stocks, low RSI may be a sign that the stock is oversold and that there is a chance for a reaction upwards. The RSI curve shows a falling trend, which could be an early signal of the start of a falling trend for the price as well. The stock is overall assessed as technically negative for the short term.

Recommendation one to six weeks: Negative (Score: -89)

Automatic technical analysis. Medium term

chart S&P 500 ETF Vanguard (VOO) Medium term

Medium term

S&P 500 ETF Vanguard has broken the floor of the rising trend channel in the medium long term, which indicates a weaker initial rising rate. The stock gave a negative signal from the double top formation by the break down through the support at 414. Further fall to 395 or lower is signaled. The stock is between support at dollar 395 and resistance at dollar 416. A definitive break through of one of these levels predicts the new direction. Volume has previously been low at price tops and high at price bottoms. Volume balance is also negative, which weakens the stock. The stock is overall assessed as technically negative for the medium long term.

Recommendation one to six months: Negative (Score: -77)

Automatic technical analysis. Long term

chart S&P 500 ETF Vanguard (VOO) Long term

Long term

S&P 500 ETF Vanguard has broken the floor of the rising trend channel in the long term, which indicates a weaker initial rising rate. The stock has support at dollar 310 and resistance at dollar 440. Volume has previously been low at price tops and high at price bottoms. Volume balance is also negative, which weakens the stock. The RSI curve shows a falling trend, which could be an early signal of the start of a falling trend for the price as well. The stock is overall assessed as technically slightly negative for the long term.

Recommendation one to six quarters: Weak Negative (Score: -49)

Full history

chart S&P 500 ETF Vanguard (VOO) Full history

Candlesticks 95 days

chart S&P 500 ETF Vanguard (VOO) chart0

Candlesticks 22 days

chart S&P 500 ETF Vanguard (VOO) chart0

Seasonal variations

Seasonal prediction from today's date

chart Seasonal prediction from today's date
The blue line shows average price development the past 10 years, in the period from three months before to six months after today's date. The black line is actual price development in the past three months. Shaded areas are one and two standard deviations.

Monthly and annual statistics

chart Average development per month, last 10 years

Average development per month, last 10 years
chart Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Average development throughout the year, last 10 years

Annual development from 2012 to 2021

chart 2012
2012
chart 2013
2013
chart 2014
2014
chart 2015
2015
chart 2016
2016
chart 2017
2017
chart 2018
2018
chart 2019
2019
chart 2020
2020
chart 2021
2021

Early warning

Close prices next day that when broken will generate new signals 
IndicatorPriceObjective
High-RSI489.32-
Long Term Trading Range439.25-
Short Term Trading Range433.07-
Low-RSI407.06-
Last close402.69-
Moving average43.05-
Indicator:Type of indicator generating the signal
Price:If close price next day has crossed this value, a technical signal is created
Objective:Price target for the positive or negative signal (Only listed for patterns)

Alerts

DatePriceSignalTime spanTarget
Jan 20, 2022410.76Long Term Trading RangeMedium term-1.00
Jan 20, 2022410.76Double Top PatternMedium term395.09

Key ratios

Data missing

Help and information - Research shows the importance of Trend, Momentum and Volume

Investtech’s analyses focus on a stock’s trend status, short term momentum and volume development. These are central topics of technical analysis theory that describe changes in investor optimism or fluctuations in a company’s financial development. However, Investtech’s strong focus on these elements is due to research results that clearly indicate causation between these factors and future return on the stock market.

Trend

Rising trend
Theory: Stocks in rising trends will continue to rise.

Psychology/economy: Rising trends indicate that the company experiences positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. Read more

Research: Stocks in rising trend channels in Investtech’s medium long term charts have been followed by an annualized excess return of 7.8 percentage points compared to average benchmark development. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 34,880 cases of stocks in rising trends on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015.
Read more about the research results here

 

Momentum


Theory: Stocks with rising short term momentum will continue to rise. Stocks with very strong momentum (overbought) will react backwards.

Psychology/economy: RSI above 70 shows strong positive momentum. The stock has risen in the short term without any significant reactions downwards. Investors have kept paying more to buy stocks. This indicates that more investors want to buy the stock and that the price will continue to rise. Read more

Research: Stocks with strong momentum have on average continued to rise, and more so than the average stock listed on the Exchange. This is shown by Investtech’s research into 24,208 cases of stocks on the Nordic Stock Exchanges in the period 1996 to 2015 where RSI went above 70 points, indicating strong and increasing short term momentum. On average, annualized, the stocks rose the equivalent of 11.4 percentage points more than the average stock.
Read the research report here

 

Volume


Theory: Rising prices on high volume and falling prices on low volume indicate strength in a stock. Volume can confirm a rising trend or signal that a falling trend is ending.

Psychology/economy: When investors very much want to buy a stock, they have to increase the price to find new sellers. Rising price on high volume shows that some investors are so aggressive that they push the price up to be able to buy the stock. Investtech’s Volume Balance tool measures the relation between price rise and volume and measures investor aggression at rising and falling prices. Read more

Research: Stocks with volume balance above 40 have been followed by an average annual return of 4.7 percentage points on the Nordic Stock Exchanges, shown by research conducted by Investtech into 24,580 cases.
Read the research report here

 

Investtech's analyses

Investtech has combined theory, psychology and research into powerful investment tools.


Read more.

About Investtech

Investtech are behavioural finance and quantitative stock analysis specialists. The company sells analysis products to private, professional and institutional investors. Investtech manage the AIFM company Investtech Invest, which invests customers’ funds in the stock market.

Investtech’s computers analyze more than 28,000 stocks from 12 different countries every day. The analyses are presented in eight languages and sold to customers worldwide. In addition to the automatic analyses, the company’s analysts present subjective assessments and recommendations for some markets. The analyses are available to customers in the form of daily morning reports and cases, and weekly market updates and model portfolios.

Investtech’s algorithms for analysis, ranking and stock recommendations are based on research dating back to 1993. Part of the research was conducted in cooperation with Oslo University and the Norwegian Research Council. Research still has high priority for Investtech. Many of the company’s research results are available for customers on the company’s web site.

The company’s basic product starts at approx. 30 euro per month. Investtech also provides bespoke products for integration on partners’ web sites and for use in newsletters, for example to stock brokers and the media. Contact us by e-mail to info@investtech.com or by phone +47 21 555 888 for more information. A free trial subscription is available to order on our web site www.investtech.com.

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info@investtech.com


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Investor Psychology - Behavioural Finance - Quantitative Analysis - Scientific Methods

Technical Analysis - Insider Trades - Seasonal Variations - Intraday Trading







 


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.

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