Global stocks: 1 Buy and 2 Sell Signals

Published December 05, 2018

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US markets were down on Tuesday with all three major indices DJIA , S&P 500 and NASDAQ losing over 3 per cent each. The main reason was fear due to narrowing and eventually a crossover between the short term and the long term treasury notes, which is called yield spread. The yield spread indicates the likelihood of a recession or recovery one year forward.

Experts suggests that such negative crossovers earlier, where the short term rates rise over longer term rates, have been followed by a period of recession. Only time can tell if this fear is short lived and the yield spread starts to widen again or if it is going to overshadow the markets in the future.

Today we have analysed three US stocks that are world renowned companies and belong to different sectors: one sports brand, another in consumer packaged goods and one in aviation.

Nike Inc (NKE.US) Close: 75.79

Nike Inc is in a rising trend channel in the medium term. This signals increasing optimism among investors and indicates continued rise.

The stock tested its earlier support at 71 dollars and reacted upwards to rise above its resistance of 75.40 dollars. On the upside there is resistance around 78-79.70 dollars in the short term and 85.50 or equivalent to 12.8 per cent higher in the medium term. In case of a downward reaction, there is support between 72 and 70 dollars.

Investtech's outlook (one to six months): Buy

 

The Kraft Heinz Company(KHC.US) Close: 49.98

The Kraft Heinz Company shows weak development in a falling trend channel both in the short, medium and long term. Falling trends indicate that the company experiences negative development and falling buy interest among investors.

The stock prices have almost halved since the top in February 2017. There is no sign of respite seen in the stock as it closed yesterday at its all time low. Negative volume balance and weak momentum adds weightage to the falling prices. The stock has resistance around 54.40 dollars. However, in the short term chart there are multiple resistance levels which the stock needs to break and close above before the sell recommendation can be revoked.

Investtech's outlook (one to six months): Sell

 

American Airlines Grou (AAL.US) Close: 36.69

Investors over time have sold at lower prices to get out of American Airlines Group Inc. as the stock is inside a falling trend channel in the medium term.

The ceiling of the falling trend channel was being tested around 40 dollars before the stock price resumed its downward trend. The stock is just above its interim support of 36 dollars, which if broken may lead the price to tumble down to 30 dollars or lower. There is resistance between 43.30 and 45.70 before a change in trend can be seen.

Further, negative volume balance indicates that volume is high on days with falling prices and low on days with rising prices, which weakens the stock. The stock is overall assessed as technically negative for the medium term.

Investtech's outlook (one to six months): Sell

 

The analyses are based on closing price as per December 05, 2018.

Note: These instruments are traded in currency based on the exchange or country they are listed on.

Skrevet av

Kiran R. Shroff
Analytiker
i Investtech

"Investtech analyserer psykologien i markedet og gir deg konkrete tradingforslag hver dag."

Espen Grønstad
Partner & Senior Advisor - Investtech
 


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Investeringsanbefalingen(e) er utarbeidet av Investtech.com AS ("Investtech"). Investtech garanterer ikke fullstendigheten eller riktigheten av analysen. Eventuell eksponering i henhold til rådene / signalene som fremkommer i analysene står fullt og helt for investors regning og risiko. Investtech er ikke ansvarlig for noe tap, verken direkte eller indirekte, som oppstår som en følge av bruk av Investtechs analyser. Opplysninger om eventuelle interessekonflikter vil alltid fremgå av investeringsanbefalingen. Ytterligere informasjon om Investtechs analyser finnes på informasjonssiden.

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