Investtechs sterkeste råd for sommeren

Publisert 18.06.2021

Investtechs sterkeste råd for sommeren: Hold deg unna lottoaksjene. Eier du lottoaksjer, selg dem. Og gjør det nå.

Vår forskning gir stadig sterkere indikasjoner på at høyrisikable aksjer får en kunstig høy kurs etter kjøp fra investorer som søker raske gevinstmuligheter. Aksjene, som egentlig burde blitt priset med rabatt grunnet den store usikkerheten, får dermed det motsatte: en høyere kurs grunnet den store etterspørselen fra oppsidesøkende investorer.

Spesielt har vi sett at høyvolatile aksjer som har utløst tekniske salgssignaler har utviklet seg dårlig. Salgssignalene utløses fordi mange av investorene, også de tidligere så optimistiske risikosøkende investorene, har gått nedover i pris for å komme seg ut. Det indikerer en gryende frykt for uteblitte eller svakere selskapsresultater enn ventet, følges gjerne av at flere investorer får lignende tanker, og kursene fortsetter ned.

 

Ett eksempel: De ti prosent mest volatile nordiske aksjene (inkluderer grovt regnet lottoaksjene), som samtidig har ligget i fallende trendkanal på Investtechs mellomlange kursdiagram, har i snitt utviklet seg 7,7 prosentpoeng svakere enn referanseindeksene de påfølgende tre månedene.

Denne uken har alle de syv aksjene i Investtechs Hold-deg-unna-portefølje en månedsvolatilitet på 40 prosent eller mer, og er dermed klassifisert som lottoaksjer. Fem av de syv er samtidig teknisk negative på mellomlang sikt, og de to andre på kort eller lang sikt. Vi gjør ingen endringer i porteføljen, men gjentar vårt råd: Hold deg unna lottoaksjene, spesielt de som er teknisk negative.

 

Written by

Geir Linløkken
Head of Research and Analysis
at Investtech

Aktuell Investtech-forskning:
Såkalte lottoaksjer har statistisk gitt dårlig avkastning - vær varsom med lottoaksjene.

Hjelp:
Investtechs aksjeskole

"Investtech analyses the psychology of the market and gives concrete trading suggestions every day."

Espen Grønstad
Partner & Senior Advisor - Investtech
 


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.


Investtech guarantees neither the entirety nor accuracy of the analyses. Any consequent exposure related to the advice / signals which emerge in the analyses is completely and entirely at the investors own expense and risk. Investtech is not responsible for any loss, either directly or indirectly, which arises as a result of the use of Investtechs analyses. Details of any arising conflicts of interest will always appear in the investment recommendations. Further information about Investtechs analyses can be found here disclaimer. The content provided by Investtech.com is NOT SEC or FSA regulated and is therefore not intended for US or UK consumers.

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